Why The Financial “Industry” Is A Sham – And How To See Through The Maze
After
my mother died, I inherited a nest egg that was the result of my
father’s hard work over 30 years, which put me in the position of being
approached by a series of “financial advisors.” They invariably promised
to help me “invest” this money wisely. Fortunately my father had
been both an economist and treasurer of a large travel agency, so he
had provided me with a sound financial philosophy, solid practices and a
healthy distrust for both Wall Street and investment “experts.” He had
also retired successfully in saner economic times.
When he stopped working full-time banks
were paying above 6% interest on savings. When I inherited his life
savings, a return like this would have enabled me to live quite
comfortably, especially since I was able to earn money as a tech and
business writer. But many of my friends were “day trading” and the stock
market was hot so I began to get visions of the high life. Since I was
in the high tech arena I tried to leverage what I thought was my
insight into some quick gains, with very mixed results.
So I sought out the help of some “experts,” bearing in my mind many
of my father’s principles: minimize risk, save money, and don’t buy in
“installments” (credit).So – only one of the following men was a “brilliant economist” (the one on the right, my father)
– the other was the Fed Chief that deregulated the markets.
Getting involved in the “financial world,” what I found was an “industry” that had more confusing jargon than even the technology world in which I worked —and an agreed upon set of rules and agreements. One of these was that over the “long term” stocks would outperform bonds, real estate and simple savings (which were seen as sucker accounts) and that this was a “proven fact.”
The problem was, of course, that no one
knew exactly what the long term was; if you were 30 years old you could
be realistically expectant that you might have a long term perspective
until you were maybe 60 –but of course even this wasn’t guaranteed –you
could drop dead at anytime.
After buying a few stocks and losing my
ass, I soon discovered that “the long term” was really a euphemism for
“hoping the shit would recover.”
Still financial advisors pleaded me with “truths” like:- The need to set financial goals
- The need to diversify
- The wonders of asset allocation
They did not appreciate that my father
had impressed upon me the need to see the stock market as a giant craps
table –and the longer you risked your money, the more likely you were
to lose.
There was only one goal for me which I
expressed thusly: “My goal is to make the most money in the shortest
time with no loss of principal.” But financial experts were not
particularly impressed with this concept. They tried to explain that
“financial goals” were dependent on “time horizons,” “risk tolerance”
and similar terms that I thought were pure bullshit.
Finally
I bought into some of this when a friend recommended a seasoned broker
at Smith-Barney in Boston, who shifted me over to her assistant who
promised to make money for me with “solid companies” and he put together
a portfolio of blue chips. One of these was Microsoft, which soon faced
a very serious anti-trust judgment in European courts. I mentioned
this to my expert who told me not to worry because I had a financial
profile that kept me in my stocks for “the long term.” I tried to argue
that Microsoft might lose quite a bit of its value the following week,
and I wanted to sell my shares and maybe buy them back cheaper, but he
assured me that this went against my profile.
I listened to his malarkey for about an
hour, tried to use common sense, and finally hung up with the idea that
maybe, just maybe, the nonsense he had spewed was right and I was
wrong. Sure enough Microsoft went from $80 a share to $30 over the next
month, and it just recovered slightly recently (20 years later). I lost
enough in value that I quit that expert and left Smith-Barney.
In comparison with this brilliant
approach, my father was a believer in something called “compound
interest.” This means actually putting away money you earned and
letting it grow according to the following system:
He also believed in another principle:
“Don’t Buy Shit You Can’t Afford.” This meant that I was the last kid I
knew to have a color television in the living room, but I also never
knew a day when my family was ever in debt.
After college I could not believe how my
friends recklessly ran up credit card bills and later got involved in
complicated real estate deals that put them in hot water. I never got
rich but I always made the rent and lived well. Then when I inherited my
father’s hard earned savings, and got burned a few more times in the
“financial markets,” I bought a condo and kept working. I didn’t pay
much attention when Congress passed “financial deregulation” or the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act
in 1999, until I witnessed the real estate bubble, and near financial
collapse of 2008, and the credit default swaps and massive debts and
bailouts of “financial institutions.”
While many people suffered terribly, my
main clue to what had actually happened was that banks suddenly didn’t
need to pay any interest to savers. Where my father had earned 6%
compound interest on his savings, I suddenly could earn nothing in the
bank. The reason for this was the “financial stimulus” – or the printing of completely worthless currency. This
was the inevitable result of decades of fraudulent activity, and a
transition from using “capital” as a way to create real wealth and value
to simply a way of multiplying phone electronic “currency” on a
computer screen.
And of course through such
“deregulation,” the banks had effectively become casinos –now merged and
partnered with investment brokers and insurance companies – they traded
complex and risky “instruments” like derivatives and were “too big to
fail.” But of course they did fail –and were bailed out again and again
with more funny money.
And now, suddenly when I again tried to
avail myself of the wisdom of financial experts, I was “advised” that I
had to take “reasonable risk” to earn a return and not deplete my
savings. But I was approaching “retirement” – mainly because no one
wanted to hire an old fart like me anymore -so now I was anxiously
looking for passive income.
At this point, when I was asked for my
goals I simply said, “to not end up on the street when my money runs
out.” Another way to put this was that I no longer had a “long term”
time horizon. A friend of mine, in his 80’s had bought into the “long
term” myth as well. Unfortunately his “long term” ended in 2008 and he
lost all of the gains his “expert advisors” had accumulated. He had to
sell at major losses, terrified and to avoid losing more, and of course
his holdings would have recovered eventually, but he needed safety and
was screwed.
The question for me was a bit more
palatable. Having finally gotten through the acute anxiety of thinking
the entire financial system would surely collapse, after amassing $3
trillion in debt that could never be paid back (and it was still
printing worthless money), I decided to concentrate on the present
moment, rather than the long term.
I listened to Eckhart Tolle, and my friend Michael Jeffreys, and realized that in “the present moment” I was fine.
But I wanted to understand how this
“financial system” really operated so that I would not be victimized and
sought out by other “advisors.” I figured maybe someone had an answer
for my situation that I had failed to discover. One my own age admitted
that I was screwed if I wanted a safe return that I could actually live
on; “reasonable risk” even in bonds meant that I had to accept the
potential loss of as much as 20% of my principal at any time in the
future.
My alternative was inflation and running
out of money when I was drooling in a nursing home. And as I explained
to women who wanted me to take them to Paris or Hawaii, I was not rich
but I was solvent. I could take them to Paris or Hawaii if I died in 10
years, but if I lived another 20 (I’m 65) I needed to save a bit more,
and if I lived as long as my dad (86) they were out of luck –I needed my
cash.
I went back into the stock market, looked
at bonds, options, ETFs and other strategies, and took what I called
limited and prudent risk. My discussions with financial “advisors”
became a bit more heated. When I had “misunderstandings,” meaning that
they didn’t tell me the truth about how bonds or options worked, I got
very angry and moved my money to other institutions. More often than not
they could not understand my displeasure and unwillingness to play
their game –which again was like a giant craps table where the longer
you keep the money on the numbers the more likely you are to get
wiped. Just as a “7” will inevitably occur in craps, so too will a
“correction” occur in the stock market.
The other obvious truth is that the
market is completely rigged. 60 minutes just did another piece about how
electronic traders “front load” transactions, seeing what retail
investors are looking to buy and purchasing shares ahead of them,
thereby raising the price, and then selling them back to the investors
at a profit. WATCH IT HERE
These “professionals” are called “market
makers.” Seriously? They are criminals. This does not take into
account the other criminals called “insider traders” or as another 60
minutes piece referred to them, “researchers.”
So I have a new strategy. I go at it
alone and I believe in guerilla economics. I follow the momentum of the
herd, buy and sell quickly, take my profits and then when I have enough I
wait. I try not to get caught in the “undertow” of a “correction” or
panic, which happens regularly. I read rumors about earnings and
cautiously take advantage of any edge that I can get, knowing that most
market commentary is false and misleading, I then just act accordingly.
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