The Ambassador Architecture
The Evidence Record of the RFK Assassination — What Was Documented, What Was Destroyed, and What the Primary Sources Show
The Gun
Sirhan Bishara Sirhan's .22-caliber Iver Johnson Cadet revolver held eight rounds. He fired all eight. Kennedy was struck by three bullets. Five bystanders were wounded. DeWayne Wolfer, the LAPD's criminalist, matched the bullets recovered from victims to Sirhan's gun and testified to that matching at trial. A 1975 panel of forensic experts subsequently reviewed Wolfer's methodology and found inconsistencies. Polish journalist Stanislaw Pruszynski's audio recording, captured at the Ambassador Hotel on the night of the shooting, has been analyzed by acoustic expert Philip Van Praag, who identified evidence of thirteen or more distinct shots — nearly double the capacity of Sirhan's eight-round cylinder. This post examines the ballistic record as a primary source: what it establishes, what it contests, and where the accounting does not close.
Eight is a hard number. The Iver Johnson Cadet revolver Sirhan fired has an eight-round cylinder. It cannot fire nine shots without reloading. Sirhan did not reload — every witness account confirms he was tackled and subdued while still firing. The official accounting attributes every bullet and fragment recovered from the shooting victims to Sirhan's eight rounds. That accounting is load-bearing for the lone-gunman conclusion: if more than eight shots were fired in the pantry, a second weapon was present. The ballistic record this post examines sits directly on that load-bearing number. Three challenges to the official accounting — the 1975 expert panel, the Pruszynski audio analysis, and the internal LAPD documentation inconsistencies — are each examined in turn as primary sources, with the contested responses to each noted where they exist.
The Official Accounting: Wolfer's Methodology
DeWayne Wolfer served as the LAPD's chief criminalist on the case. His role was to conduct ballistic analysis of the physical evidence — the bullets recovered from Kennedy and the five wounded bystanders, the bullet fragments recovered from the crime scene, and Sirhan's revolver — and to testify at trial about the relationship between that evidence and the weapon. Wolfer testified that the bullets recovered from the victims were consistent with having been fired from Sirhan's gun and that the ballistic evidence supported the lone-gunman conclusion.
The specific methodology Wolfer used to reach his matching conclusions became a documented controversy in the years following the trial. Internal LAPD notes — released in the California State Archives partial disclosure — indicated inconsistencies in how bullets recovered from different victims were tracked, labeled, and matched. The chain of custody documentation for the recovered bullets was questioned by subsequent reviewers. These concerns accumulated to the point that in 1975 a panel of forensic experts was formally convened to re-examine the ballistic evidence.
Four Ballistic Challenges in the Primary Record
The Van Praag Analysis: What It Establishes and What It Contests
Philip Van Praag's acoustic analysis of the Pruszynski recording is the most technically specific challenge to the eight-round accounting in the primary source record. It was published in a peer-reviewed journal — not circulated as a press claim or an advocacy document. It used established methods of forensic acoustic analysis applied to a recording whose provenance and chain of custody Van Praag documented. The two core findings — thirteen or more distinct impulse events and two distinct firing rates — are presented as conclusions derived from measurable acoustic data in the recording.
The analysis has been contested. Other acoustic experts have examined the recording and reached different conclusions — that the recording quality and ambient noise conditions do not permit the kind of precise shot identification Van Praag performed, that some of the impulse events he identified as shots may be audio artifacts or echoes, and that the two-firing-rate finding does not reliably distinguish between two weapons and the natural variation in firing rate from a single weapon under the conditions of the pantry shooting. These contested responses are part of the primary source record and carry weight. What they do not do is establish that Van Praag's analysis is wrong. The scientific dispute is unresolved. The recording exists and is available. The methodological disagreement between qualified acoustic analysts is the current state of the primary source record on this question.
Paul Schrade: The Wounded Bystander Who Called for Reinvestigation
Paul Schrade — the United Auto Workers official who was standing directly behind Kennedy when the shooting began and who was struck by a bullet that entered his forehead — has been among the most persistent and credentialed voices calling for reinvestigation of the ballistic record. Schrade was a victim of the shooting. His standing to raise questions about the evidence is not that of a detached theorist. He has stated publicly and in court filings that the bullet that struck him could not have been fired by Sirhan given Sirhan's documented position and the trajectory analysis. He has pointed to the autopsy findings, the acoustic analysis, and the evidence destruction as requiring a new investigation. In 2016 he appeared at a Sirhan parole hearing and argued that Sirhan should be released because Sirhan did not fire the shot that killed Kennedy — a remarkable statement from one of the shooting's documented victims, entered into the formal parole record.
Schrade's position is not dispositive. It is, however, a primary source of particular weight: a documented victim of the shooting, with full access to the evidence record over decades of engagement with it, reaching a conclusion that directly contradicts the official account. His 2016 parole hearing statement is in the public record.
The Van Praag acoustic analysis identifying thirteen or more shots and two firing rates is a peer-reviewed published finding. It has been contested by other qualified acoustic experts. Neither the analysis nor the contested responses have been resolved into a definitive scientific consensus. FSA presents both as components of the primary source record without resolving the acoustic dispute. The recording exists and is available for further analysis.
The 1975 expert panel's findings on Wolfer's methodology documented inconsistencies and raised questions. They did not reach a conclusion that Wolfer's matching was definitively wrong or that the bullets recovered from victims were not fired by Sirhan's gun. The panel raised methodological concerns; it did not overturn the ballistic conclusion. FSA notes the distinction between questioning methodology and establishing a different conclusion.
The serial number discrepancy in the gun documentation is documented in LAPD records. The LAPD's explanation — administrative error — is the official response. Whether the explanation is accurate is not established from the available primary sources reviewed for this post. Both the discrepancy and the explanation are in the record.
Paul Schrade's 2016 parole hearing statement arguing that Sirhan did not fire the shot that killed Kennedy is a primary source of his documented position. It is the statement of a victim, not a forensic finding. Its evidentiary weight is that of a credentialed, directly affected witness who has engaged with the evidence record over decades — significant but not determinative.
The destruction of the door frames and ceiling tiles — examined in Post 5 — permanently foreclosed independent verification of the surface impact count that would have been the most direct physical test of whether more than eight shots were fired. The foreclosure itself is a documented fact. What the destroyed evidence would have shown is permanently unknowable.
Primary Sources · Post 3
- DeWayne Wolfer — LAPD criminalist; trial testimony; People v. Sirhan 1969; ballistic matching documented on record
- 1975 forensic expert panel — ballistic evidence review; Wolfer methodology assessment; findings documented in California State Archives
- Pruszynski audio recording — Stanislaw Pruszynski; Ambassador Hotel June 5, 1968; recording provenance documented
- Philip Van Praag — acoustic analysis of Pruszynski recording; peer-reviewed publication in forensic science journal; 13+ shots finding; two firing rates finding
- Contested acoustic analyses — other expert responses to Van Praag analysis; documented in forensic literature and press record
- LAPD evidence documentation — serial number records; chain of custody documentation; California State Archives 1987–1988 release
- Paul Schrade — wounded bystander; parole hearing statement 2016; public record
- Sirhan parole hearing record — 2016; Schrade statement entered in formal record
- California State Archives — LAPD Special Unit Senator files; partial release 1987–1988 (sos.ca.gov)
- People v. Sirhan — trial record; Los Angeles Superior Court 1969; Wolfer testimony; ballistic evidence on record

No comments:
Post a Comment