Part 1: The Backlog Economy | Part 2: The PE Market Map (You Are Here) | Part 3: The Testimony | Part 4: The AI Mirage | Part 5: The Policy Toolkit
The PE Market Map: Who Owns Your Emergency?
A Field Guide to the Financialization of Essential Services
Introduction: The Stealth Roll-Up Economy
You think you're supporting a local business. You see the independent-looking sign: "Main Street Animal Clinic." "Dr. Smith Family Dentistry." "Riverside Fire & Rescue Equipment."
But behind the facade, five essential services in your daily life are likely controlled by the same three private equity firms—and you never knew it happened.
This is the Stealth Roll-Up: buying up independent providers one at a time, each acquisition too small to trigger Federal Trade Commission (FTC) antitrust review, until the market is locked up.
Acquisitions under $111 million don’t require Hart-Scott-Rodino (HSR) antitrust filing.
So private equity firms buy dozens of companies at $50-100M each, flying under the radar until they own the market.
Example: REV Group acquired 26+ fire truck manufacturers (E-ONE, Ferrara, KME, Spartan, etc.) over 15 years—each deal small enough to avoid FTC review. Result: 80% market control.
Below is the map. This is who owns your emergency.
FIRE & EMERGENCY SERVICES
🚒 What You See vs. Who Actually Owns It
You think: Independent American manufacturer since 1974
Actually owned by: REV Group (American Industrial Partners PE-backed, now public)
Acquired: 2010
The play: Part of 26-brand roll-up creating 80% market concentration
You think: Legacy Chicago manufacturer (since 1897)
Actually owned by: REV Group
Acquired: 2017
The play: Absorb remaining independent capacity; plants closed post-acquisition
You think: Regional independent manufacturer
Actually owned by: REV Group
Acquired: 2011
The play: Market consolidation; integrated into REV production system
You think: Premium fire truck brand (since 1913)
Actually owned by: Oshkosh Corporation (publicly traded, PE influence)
Owned since: 1996
The play: Control top-tier municipal market; double-digit price increases in backlog
You think: Regional ambulance service
Actually owned by: Envision Healthcare (KKR-backed, later bankrupt)
The play: Extract value through "out-of-network" billing
Status: Bankruptcy 2023, sold in pieces
MARKET SHARE:
3 companies (REV, Oshkosh/Pierce, Rosenbauer) = ~80% of U.S. market
PROFIT MARGINS:
4-5% (pre-consolidation) → 13%+ (post-consolidation)
= TRIPLED
PRICING:
$500K (2015) → $1.2M+ (2025) for standard pumper
= MORE THAN DOUBLED
WAIT TIMES:
6 months (2015) → 2-4 years (2025)
= 4X-8X LONGER
VETERINARY CARE
🐾 Who Really Owns Your Pet's Doctor
You think: Local independent practice, same vet for years
Actually owned by: VCA Animal Hospitals (Mars Inc., the candy company)
Acquired: VCA acquired by Mars 2017 for $9.1B; individual clinics acquired 2000s-present
The play: Roll up 800+ clinics, rebrand under local names, maintain illusion of independence
You think: Standalone vet in PetSmart
Actually owned by: Mars Inc.
Acquired: 2007
The play: In-store captive market; high-volume, low-cost model scaled to 1,000+ locations
You think: Regional emergency/specialty vet network
Actually owned by: Mars Inc.
Acquired: 2015
The play: Corner the emergency vet market; premium pricing, limited alternatives
You think: Independent clinic network
Actually owned by: JAB Holding Company (also owns Krispy Kreme, Panera)
Acquired: 2019
The play: Build parallel network to VCA/Mars; 1,000+ practices
MARKET SHARE:
Mars Inc. + JAB Holding = estimated 30-40% of U.S. vet market
PRICE INFLATION:
• Routine vet visits: +60-100% since 2015
• Emergency care: +200-300%
• Example: Emergency visit $300 (2015) → $2,000+ (2025)
STAFFING CHANGES:
Veterinarian-to-patient ratios declined as “efficiency targets” implemented
SURPRISE BILLS:
Corporate-owned ERs increasingly “out-of-network” for pet insurance
DENTAL CARE
🦷 The DSO Takeover (Dental Service Organizations)
You think: Independent dentist, same doctor for 20 years
Actually owned by: Heartland Dental (KKR-backed)
Acquired: Individual practices acquired 2010s-present
The play: Dentist becomes employee; DSO controls pricing, quotas, purchasing
Scale: 2,800+ practices across 38 states
You think: Regional dental chain
Actually owned by: AEA Investors / Leonard Green & Partners
The play: Franchise-style model with centralized control; 1,000+ locations
You think: West Coast dental group
Actually owned by: Carlyle Group
Acquired: Carlyle investment 2013
The play: Scale operational model, maximize revenue per chair; 900+ practices
MARKET SHARE:
Top 10 DSOs control ~20% of all dental practices, growing 15% annually
REVENUE PRESSURE:
Corporate-owned practices have “production quotas” for dentists
Patient complaints about over-treatment rising
PRICE OPACITY:
Surprise bills common as DSOs negotiate complex insurance arrangements
DENTIST BURNOUT:
Surveys show corporate-employed dentists report higher burnout, less autonomy
HOUSING & REAL ESTATE
🏠 From Homeownership to Asset Class
You think: Individual landlord or small investor
Actually owned by: Invitation Homes (Blackstone, now spun out public)
Acquired: Bulk purchases 2012-2017 post-foreclosure crisis
The play: Buy 80,000+ homes, securitize rental income, extract equity
Status: Largest single-family rental owner in U.S.
You think: Local property management company
Actually owned by: Greystar / Starwood Capital / Blackstone
The play: Consolidate ownership, implement algorithmic rent pricing (RealPage software)
Result: Rent increases outpacing inflation
You think: "Mobile home park" with reasonable lot rent
Actually owned by: Equity LifeStyle / Sun Communities / Blackstone
The play: Own the land, not the homes; tenants captive (can't afford $5K-15K to move trailer)
Result: Lot rent increases 5-10% annually
You think: "Alternative" home loan from helpful lender
Actually owned by: Apollo Global / Blackstone / KKR private credit funds
The play: Lend to borrowers who can't get traditional mortgages at 8-12% rates
Status: Now being packaged into 401(k) products for retail investors
SINGLE-FAMILY RENTALS:
Institutional investors own 500,000+ SFR homes (growing 15-20% annually)
RENT GROWTH:
Institutional-owned properties raise rents 2-3x faster than small landlords
PRIVATE CREDIT:
$1.6 trillion market (2025), growing 20% annually
Low transparency, high risk
CAPTIVE MARKETS:
Manufactured home residents face $5K-15K cost to move trailer
Lot rent increases force sell-at-loss scenarios
HEALTHCARE SYSTEMS
🏥 The Hospital Roll-Up
You think: Community nonprofit
Actually owned by: HCA Healthcare / Tenet Healthcare / CHS (PE-influenced)
The play: Buy distressed rural hospitals, cut staff, optimize billing
Result: Rural hospital closures accelerating
You think: Hospital employee
Actually employed by: TeamHealth / Envision (PE-backed staffing firms)
The play: Staff ERs with out-of-network physicians
Result: "Surprise medical billing" epidemic
You think: Local care facility
Actually owned by: Omega Healthcare Investors / Welltower (REITs backed by PE)
The play: Sale-leaseback deals; separate real estate from operations; operators pay rent, cut care costs to survive
Result: COVID death rates higher in PE-owned facilities
You think: Emergency medical transport
Actually owned by: Air Methods / Global Medical Response (KKR-backed)
The play: Monopolize rural air transport, charge $50K+ per flight (often out-of-network)
Status: Multiple bankruptcies, sold to new PE firms
HOSPITAL OWNERSHIP:
PE firms own or manage 30%+ of for-profit hospitals
STAFFING CUTS:
PE-owned hospitals average 25% lower RN-to-patient ratios than non-PE peers
SURPRISE BILLS:
• Air ambulance: $36,000-50,000 average
• Ground ambulance: $1,200-5,000 average
Often not covered by insurance
RURAL CLOSURES:
180+ rural hospitals closed 2010-2025
Many closures followed PE acquisition
The Roll-Up Timeline: How It Happens Invisibly
Here's how the stealth roll-up works, using veterinary care as the model:
Phase 1: The Friendly Buyout (2000-2010)
PE firm approaches aging veterinarian: "We'll buy your practice, you keep working, nothing changes for clients."
- Purchase price: $500K-2M (under HSR threshold, no FTC review)
- Veterinarian signs 3-5 year employment contract
- Perception: "Dr. Jones sold his practice but he's still here!"
Phase 2: The Operational Integration (2010-2015)
Corporate office takes over: billing, purchasing, HR, pricing.
- "Efficiency improvements": Reduce staff, increase patient loads, standardize care protocols
- Original veterinarian either leaves after contract or adapts to new quotas
- Perception: "Wait times are longer, but it's the same clinic..."
Phase 3: The Network Effect (2015-2020)
Acquire 5-10 more clinics in the region.
- Consolidate: Close redundant locations, centralize specialty services
- Raise prices: "Market rate adjustments" (no local competition left)
- Perception: "Why is my vet bill so high? And why is the nearest alternative 30 miles away?"
Phase 4: The Exit (2020-Present)
Original PE firm sells entire portfolio to another PE firm or goes public.
- New owners: "We need to optimize this asset"
- Further price increases, staff cuts, service reductions
- Perception: "I miss the old vet. This place is a factory now."
The Backlog Strategy Across Sectors
The fire truck shortage isn't unique. Here's where else "scarcity as a feature" appears:
Fire Trucks (REV Group, Oshkosh)
The Play: Close production facilities → Create 2-4 year backlog → Lock in future revenue + price increases
The Proof: CEO earnings calls celebrating $4.5B backlog as "value accretion opportunity"
Veterinary Appointments (Mars/VCA, JAB/NVA)
The Play: Reduce staff-to-patient ratios → Create appointment scarcity → Push clients to "emergency" services at 3x cost
The Proof: Routine vet appointments now booked 2-4 weeks out; emergency visits are the only same-day option
Hospital Beds (During COVID)
The Play: Years of "efficiency" cuts (close underused beds) → No surge capacity when pandemic hits → Crisis pricing
The Proof: U.S. had 300K fewer hospital beds in 2020 than in 2000 despite population growth
Skilled Nursing Beds (REIT Model)
The Play: Extract real estate value → Operators can't afford rent + quality care → Waiting lists for beds
The Proof: Families waiting months for nursing home placement; operators in bankruptcy while REITs collect rent
In every case, the scarcity wasn’t caused by demand outstripping supply.
It was caused by DELIBERATE CAPACITY REDUCTION to maximize margins.
Scarcity isn’t a bug. It’s the business model.
How to Check Who Owns Your Essential Services
You can't avoid PE-owned services entirely (they own too much), but you can make informed choices:
For Veterinary Care:
- Ask directly: "Is this practice independently owned or part of a corporate group?"
- Look for signs: Standardized branding, multi-location promotions, "wellness plans" (often a PE model)
- Check: VCA, Banfield, BluePearl, NVA are all corporate
For Dental Care:
- Ask: "Are you part of a DSO (Dental Service Organization)?"
- Red flags: High-pressure treatment plans, rapid turnover of dentists, upselling of unnecessary procedures
- Check: Heartland, Aspen, Pacific Dental are major DSOs
For Housing:
- Ask landlord: "Who is the property owner?" (not just the management company)
- Check county property records: Owner listed as "X Properties LLC" often signals institutional ownership
- Red flags: Algorithmic rent increases, lease terms that change frequently, impersonal management
For Medical Care:
- Ask hospital: "Is this a nonprofit, for-profit, or PE-backed institution?"
- Check ER: "Are the ER physicians employed by the hospital or a staffing company?" (Staffing companies often PE-owned)
- Red flags: Out-of-network surprise bills, rapid staff turnover
The Roll-Up Vulnerability: What Happens When It Fails
Concentrated ownership creates systemic fragility:
Fire Trucks
If REV Group faces financial distress, 80% of the U.S. fire truck supply could be disrupted. No "Mom and Pop" manufacturers exist to step in. Municipalities have no alternatives and are locked into multi-year contracts.
Veterinary Care
If Mars or JAB divests vet portfolios (due to financial pressure), local communities could lose vet access entirely. Corporate-owned ERs might close overnight if not profitable. No independent vets left to absorb patient load.
Ambulances
If PE-backed ambulance companies collapse (as Envision did), emergency medical transport could vanish in entire regions. Municipalities forced to rebuild EMS from scratch.
The Growing Roll-Up Targets (2026)
This map will keep expanding. Private equity is still rolling up:
- Mental health clinics (Behavioral health is the new target)
- Dialysis centers (DaVita, Fresenius—near-duopoly)
- Autism therapy centers (PE buying up ABA providers)
- Pharmacy benefit managers (CVS/Aetna, Cigna/Express Scripts, UnitedHealth/Optum = 80% of market)

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