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Saturday, May 25, 2019
The Moment of Truth for the Oroville Dam-New Data Indicates the Coming Failure
I
spoke with Paul Preston late last night and he indicated that some
people, downstream from the Oroville Dam have packed up and left because
of the anticipated dam failure. I asked Paul Preston, "How close is the
dam to failing?" Preston replied "It could go by this weekend".. His
comments, in part, are based upon the dire weather forecast in which
intense rainfall is forecasted between Wednesday May 15 and Sunday, May
19th. This is significant because this could greatly add to the inflow
and the outflow data which shows an extreme imbalance. And when we
consider that the dam is 12 feet from overtopping, the danger multiplies
exponentially. When any structure takes on more water, whether it be a
ship or a dam, it is going to fail/sink. Paul Preston and myself had an intense conversation about the timing
of my next article on the Oroville Dam. We both decided that putting out
this progress report on the conditions related to the dam was prudent
because it could save lives, before it is too late. This article is a progress report. However, it is also a warning to
the residents in the Central Valley which lie below the Oroville Dam and
are in the direct path of the torrent of water that will be released
when the dam fails. Some are leaving and some more will undoubtedly
leave before it is too late. However, we many unsuspecting potential
victims that are oblivious to the present set of conditions. This
article is aimed at getting the present state of the Dam in front of as
many people in the Central Valley as possible.
NO SECURITY AT DAM: Grouting to Stop the Leaks at Dam
Paul Preston has previously related to me that the California State
Government has a financial motivation to see the dam fail based on the
following:
The State of California is broke and the state is quickly reaching a state of insolvency.
If the Oroville Dam fails, the state will instantly quality for over a billion dollars in federal disaster aid.
The state has motive to see the dam fail.
Based on these facts, one can understand why when security of
the Oroville Dam disappeared for 32 hours, foul play would be suspected.
We have already seen the state dynamite the earthen sides of the dam
and the constant flow of trucks and their subsequent vibrations are of
concern to the locals in that they believe that the activity could
contribute to the failure of the dam. Subsequently, tension and emotions
are running high.
The Data Speaks for Itself
The following chart, as one can clearly see, is from the State of
California. In the preliminary comments, one can see that data reporting
is problematic when it comes to the Oroville Dam. However, obtained
records, listed below the comments indicates a serious problem what will
eventually result in overtopping the dam. This in turn will lead to the
ultimate failure of the spillway and the emergency spillway and the dam
will fail. I am told that the California data which speaks to "inflow" and
"outflow" are being purposely understated. However, even if we use
California's state government figures, one can only conclude that
disaster is coming and with the water level only 12 feet from the top,
disaster is coming sooner rather than later. Please note the highlighted columns. One can clearly see, that within
the last 24 hours, the dam is clearly taking on more water than it can
release. And with a compromised spillway, the failure of the dam will be
hastened. Remember, the latest weather forecast is calling for heavy
rain between Wednesday and Sunday. (ORO) Elevation: 900.0' · FEATHER R basin · Operator: CA Dept of Water Resources/O&M Oroville Field Division Station comments:
04/16/2019
Transmission equipment repaired. Hourly data is back online as of 4/15/2019 10:00.
02/23/2017
Outflow from Oroville includes all releases from the Oroville Dam
(i.e.: Hyatt, spillway, low flow outlet), while River Release (RIV REL)
pertains to the Oroville Complex as a whole which includes any releases
from the Diversion Dam gates and Thermalito Afterbay River Outlet.
04/15/2019
Beginning 4/12/2019 16:00, reservoir elevation and storage are not transmitting correctly. Data is being flagged automatically.
Query executed Tuesday at 05:06:54 Provisional data, subject to change. Select a sensor type for a plot of data. Hourly Data RAIN INCHES
PDT
RES ELE FEET
STORAGE AF
OUTFLOW CFS
INFLOW CFS
RIV REL CFS
BAT VOL VOLTS
05/13/2019 18:00
889.04
3,367,363
9,479
11,286
7,496
42.38
13.4
05/13/2019 19:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,393
11,673
7,497
42.38
13.4
05/13/2019 20:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,557
11,270
7,496
42.38
13.4
05/13/2019 21:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,464
10,714
7,496
42.38
13.4
05/13/2019 22:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,511
9,597
7,496
42.38
13.4
05/13/2019 23:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,541
9,594
7,518
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 00:00
889.05
3,367,516
9,598
9,598
7,497
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 01:00
889.06
3,367,669
9,596
9,625
7,518
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 02:00
889.07
3,367,822
9,392
10,548
7,517
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 03:00
889.09
3,368,127
9,693
11,467
7,517
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 04:00
889.09
3,368,127
9,686
11,284
7,496
42.38
13.4
05/14/2019 05:00
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Latest Photos From Paul Preston's Agenda 21's Radio Website
The latest photos provided by the California State Department
of Water Resources shows increased leakage on the main Oroville Dam
spillway. Two photos taken on the morning of May 12, 2019 show overnight
leaks have NOT gone away but increased over the last week. Attempts by
the DWR to use various injection solutions have failed to deter the
water behind the spillway plates.. Photo provided by DWR May 12, 2019 from the upper spillway gates of the Oroville dam.Photo provided by DWR May 12, 2019 of the Oroville dam main spillway.Photo provided by DWR May 11, 2019 of the Oroville dam main spillway.The photo above provided by the DWR was taken on the
afternoon of May 11, 2019 shows less leakage. This is due to the
afternoon sun drying out the leaks.
The Risk of Inaction
A policy decision has been with regard to the threat. Every time an
article is published on the CSS site, about the condition of the
Oroville Dam, until failure, the dangers will be published along with
any new information. The following represents the risk associated with a
catastrophic dam failure.
A breach of the dam would release a 30 foot wall of water traveling at 75 MPH.
The escaping water would reach Sacramento within 45 minutes (long estimate).
Over one million people lie in the path of the water.
After the dam fails, there is not time to evacuate the population.
Thirty percent of all American retail crosses this area from ports
on the Pacific Ocean. The effect on the economy would be catastrophic.
The Central Valley is one of the most bountiful agricultural areas
in the world. No crops would grow for years. Combined with the Midwest
flooding, famines will result and extreme food inflation.
America would teeter upon collapse.
Above all else, lives are most important and the entire region
should be evacuated. If the crisis is being overblown, why are there
hundreds of trucks at the dam? Why are they working on the dam night and
day. This is not normal maintenance and the data strongly indicates a
disaster is at hand. Evacuation should be immediate.
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