July 2, 2013
Dave Hodges - thecommonsenseshow
How many of you believe that this
country is plunging head first into a state of revolution? How many of
you believe that a planned currency collapse coupled with the
implementation of a brutal martial law and gun confiscation will be the
trigger events which will incite the coming revolution?
Many of us in the alternative media
believe that this is the likely scenario that will very soon turn this
country into the most dangerous planet on the face of the earth. It
might behoove us to look a little closer at the nature of revolution in
order to predict where all of this is likely headed. In the present
political climate, I see no way to stem the tide of unthinkable
brutality and violence which seems imminent. It is in this mindset that I
set about to research the topic of revolution and this series of
articles reflects the results of the research. And as a result of past
and common patterns of revolution, it appears as if a clear picture is
beginning to emerge.
Four Levels of Warfare
Most military strategists identify four
levels of conflict; (1) nuclear war is the trump card of all conflict;
(2) conventional warfare; (3) guerrilla warfare; and, (4) terrorism.
It is safe to say that if our country
does indeed descend into revolution, nuclear war will not come into
play, for if it did, there would be nothing to rule over in the
aftermath.
The United States has witnessed civil
war of a conventional nature In the 1860′s as two mighty armies of that
era locked horns in what proved to be the conflict in which America
suffered her greatest loss of life. In the Civil War, both sides had
equivalent weaponry and as a result employed conventional tactics.
However, given the disparity of technology and resources between the
people the globalist controlled
forces of the government, a conventional war would prove to be a
disaster for the rebel forces. If key elements of the military were to
break away and support the people, perhaps a conventional war would
unfold. However, it is not likely that the upcoming civil war will be
conventional as it is not probable that the military will bifurcate and
turn in on itself. The likely mode of the revolutionary war conflict
facing the people of the United States is that it will consist of either
guerrilla warfare or terrorism.
Guerrilla Warfare Or Terrorism?
Terrorism is the least preferred option
by any insurgent group. With terrorism, there is absolutely no hope of
final victory because territory is never occupied. For that reason,
nobody aspires to engage in terrorism if they have a viable alternative
and the American people do have a choice given how well armed we are.
However, terrorism arising out a defeated guerrilla force is a distinct
possibility as it would represent American guerrilla’s fallback position
should they be defeated. Subsequently, does the MIAC Report which
labeled Libertarians, Constitutionalists, Second Amendment Supporters,
Ron Paul Supporters, Veterans and now Christians as domestic terrorists,
make a little more sense as to why DHS made these bold proclamations?
DHS understands has demonstrated their understanding of these facts and
has prepared for what I just wrote about in the previous paragraph.
The Veterans Administration estimates
that there are approximately 21.5 million veterans living in the United
States. We also live in a country with over 300 million privately owned
guns. These combined factors point clearly to a guerrilla war being the
preferred and necessary mode of combat which will likely be visited upon
the this country.
What Is Guerrilla Warfare?
Guerrilla warfare,
for most of human history, is not new. Tribal war, which traditionally
pits one guerrilla force against another, is the oldest form of warfare.
The new “conventional” form of warfare, which pits guerrillas against
“conventional” forces, is more recent as it arose in Mesopotamia 5,000
years ago.
The good news for future American
freedom fighters is that guerrilla war has been getting more successful
since 1945, but unfortunately guerrilla fighters still lose most of the
time. An analysis
of past conflicts featuring guerrilla war, reveals that only 25% of
guerrilla forces, out of 443 such conflicts since 1775, were successful.
The government prevailed almost 64% of the time with the remainder of
the conflicts ended in a stalemate. Conversely, since the end of WWII,
the percentage of success for guerrilla forces has indeed gone up to
39.6%. Yet that still means that government forces have continued to
prevail 51% of the time. When the American people engage in a guerrilla
war in the upcoming years, the people have less than a 40% chance of
success.
Length of Guerrilla Wars
Guerrilla wars are rarely short and as a
result do not favor the American culture and our collective psyche of
instant gratification. When Americans flip the switch on the wall, we
expect the light to come on. Will Americans set aside their entitlements
as well as their entrenched soft lifestyle and rise to the occasion?
Only time will tell.
The Vietnamese culture with an external
locus of control predominating the people where the group is more
important than the individual is the perfect mindset for guerrilla
fighters. This could prove to be the American rebels biggest challenge
because guerrilla warfare is not something that one does like driving
over a speed bump. It is a way of life, a very hard way of life filled
with misery, extreme sacrifice and unspeakable losses.
For my money, the best guerrilla
fighters in the modern era were the Viet Cong in which Vietnamese people
were involved in some form of guerrilla war from 1942-1975. After the
Americans invaded Vietnam, the forces in the north had a saying, “born
in the north, to die in the south.” There were nearly two generations of
Vietnamese people in which war was an unavoidable part of life. What
General Westmoreland and LBJ failed to recognize was that in order to
defeat and totally subdue the Vietnamese people, the Americans would
have had to have engaged in unspeakable genocide because despite the
fact that the US won every single battle of the war, the Vietnamese
rebels were never going to give up. Do we Americans have that same
tenacity to persevere like the Vietnamese?
Prior to WWII, guerrilla wars lasted an
average of seven years. Following WWII, guerrilla conflicts lasted an
average of 10 years. Will Americans embrace the tenets and sacrifices of
guerrilla war and can it ever become a way of life? I believe that
conditions would have to be unspeakably horrendous for America to
embrace a conflict under these conditions. I think that things would
have to be so bad, so completely genocidal, that fighting and dying
would be the only viable alternative for America in order to embrace
guerrilla warfare as a way of life. What I am saying here is that we are
a very soft people.
How Close Are We to the Inevitable Conflict?
Vo Nugyen Giap, the architect of the Viet Cong strategy.
Successful guerrilla leaders such as
Lawrence of Arabia, Mao, Castro and Giap all concur that there are three
phases of any guerrilla war. However, before the phases can unfold
there are two preconditions which must be met.
The first condition which is a
prerequisite for guerrilla war, is based upon the fact that there has to
be a decisive battle for the belief systems of the people as a whole.
The globalists have invested billions of dollars in order to dominate
the mainstream media. On the other side is the alternative media. Both
sides are vying for control of the belief systems of the country.
There are two very distinct ideologies
playing out today in the court of public opinion. On one hand, the
future rebels are adept at exposing the loss of national sovereignty and
civil liberties every chance they get. Conversely, the globalist
dominated media is spending billions of dollars to convince the masses
that there is no such thing as a conspiracy theory and despite some
governmental incompetence, the government loves and protects its people.
And the globalists are being somewhat effective. Have you ever noticed
that when you are describing a globalist inspired conspiracy such as
what happened at Benghazi, and no matter how well documented your
position is, that your audience frequently responds with “you must be
one of these conspiracy theorists.”
Our facts are rarely attacked because they are accurate, but the idea
of the existence of any kind of conspiracy is what is challenged. This
kind of programming coming from the media is brilliant and effective.
Who is winning this war of words? The jury is still out, but the
unmistakable conclusion is that the ideological battle lines for the
upcoming conflict have clearly been drawn.
The globalists sell the sheep on the
notion that we have to control you to protect you (from a threat of our
creation), and the other side is saying “we will take our chances, give
us freedom.”
The second precondition which must be
met prior to descending into guerrilla war consists of both sides
engaging in an arms race. In response to the Obama administration’s
threat of seizing our guns for the false flag events of the Aurora
Batman massacre and Sandy Hook, Americans went on a gun-buying frenzy
which continues to this day. DHS has engaged in their own arms buildup
as they have purchased 2.2 billion rounds of ammunition
to go with 2700 new armored personnel carriers and that is not all. The
federal government has invested in 30,000 drones, super soldier robots
and intelligence gathering techniques which are mind-blowing. As an
aside, Snowden’s public revelation related to the extent of the NSA’s
illegal surveillance activities contained nothing that most of us in the
alternative media did not already know. It is my belief that Ed Snowden
knows a lot more than has been reported related to the reasons underlying the spying and the media is refusing to report on it.
In summary, the American people and
their government have engaged in an arms race very similar in nature to
two rival countries preparing to go to war.
Conclusion
The preconditions for armed conflict and
the likelihood that the conflict will be guerrilla is very likely. In
Part Two of this series, an analysis of the commonalities between past
guerrilla conflicts (e.g. Giap, Mao, Castro, etc.) will be offered.
Emerging from the discussion in the next part in this series is the
discovery of the fact that there three overlapping phases to guerrilla
war and it will be a shocking surprise to all of us as to how far along
this country is in relation to these three phases. All that is needed is
the right trigger event and that will be discussed in the next part as
well.
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